GUESSED WP2 - Wisdom of the crowds

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Judgments by groups of people are under some conditions more accurate than those of individual members of the group.

This work package investigates collective wisdom in two kinds of "crowd": groups of backcounty skiers making judgments about avalanche risks and expert panels assessing the avalanche danger level of different regions in Switzerland. The research methods ninclude mathematical analysis and computer modelling, with extensive use of data collected among skiers and forecasters. The collective judgment methods that are investigated include voting and deliberation among group members.


Michael Paul Morreau (Principal investigator)
Tim Dassler
Gerit Pfuhl
Phillip Ebert

Financial/grant information:

Funded by NordForsk 105061